The HDRkid Thread

Status
Not open for further replies.
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

HDRKid,

Darby was quoting YOU calling him a liar.

You didn't even read his post did you?

What a waste of space.
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

You keep using the word LIAR, notice that I prefer not use that word.
Click to expand...

Kid,

SkeptiSarus got it correct. I was quoting you in the post.

Do the word search for "liar" on the site. The only times that I've used the word is in a quote refering to your post:

Re: The HDRkid Thread [re: Darby]
12/02/07 04:38 PM (66.244.116.46) Edit Reply



To Darby:

I never said my age or where I lived. You sir are a liar.
Click to expand...

Brent is still the site owner at Paranormalis and I have contacted him asking him to put the old HDRKid thread back up so we can go back and see what you said regarding being, for instance, a 15 year old high schooler living with daddy

You, Skepti and I know what's in the thread.

SkeptiSarus,

BTW - your name is being called at Paranormalis by several of the old hands. The Kid has a new thread going there - though it appears to have died a week or so ago.
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

To Skeptic:
Claiming that years ago I posted something on a forum that is controlled by debunkers? I mean is that all you can come up with? We are going into a deep depression and you you worry about that? I believe that more important is for you to worry about how you are going to get food and fuel in the future.

Remember, I predicted the decline in the dollar, the mortage meltdown. the drop in the dow, GM going bankrupt. Instead of you worrying about how the economy is going to hell in a handbasket you worry about some post that I made year ago.

BTW, when the Titanic is sinking, the important thing to worry about is finding a lifeboat.


To Darby:
You keep talking about Coke Blaq. Now imagine that your social security check becomes worthless.

TAKEN FROM http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/commandingheights/shared/minitext/ess_germanhyperinflation.html
Before World War I Germany was a prosperous country, with a gold-backed currency, expanding industry, and world leadership in optics, chemicals, and machinery. The German Mark, the British shilling, the French franc, and the Italian lira all had about equal value, and all were exchanged four or five to the dollar. That was in 1914. In 1923, at the most fevered moment of the German hyperinflation, the exchange rate between the dollar and the Mark was one trillion Marks to one dollar, and a wheelbarrow full of money would not even buy a newspaper. Most Germans were taken by surprise by the financial tornado.

I believe that currency should be back by gold. This is because gold is real. What we have is monopoly money like the orangeback ten that looks as fake as a million dollar bill with clinton's face on it.
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

Now imagine that your social security check becomes worthless.
Click to expand...

OK. I've imagined that my social security is worthless. So what? When I become eligible for social security it will simply be chump change. If it's worthless then it's worthless. Social Security doesn't figure into my retirement at all.

But what does this particular non sequitur have to do with responding to the post where you called me a liar or the post where you didn't read it but responded that I was calling you a liar?

...Or your post where you finally admitted that you didn't predict the name Coke Blaq before the name was publically released?
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

But what does this particular non sequitur have to do with responding to the post where you called me a liar or the post where you didn't read it but responded that I was calling you a liar?

...Or your post where you finally admitted that you didn't predict the name Coke Blaq before the name was publically released?
Click to expand...

Answer: Diversion. But you already knew that!


RMT
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

HDRKid: You keep using the word LIAR, notice that I prefer not use that word.
Click to expand...
.

Yeah, you can run but you can't hide from your own incompetence HDRKid.

You can change the subject all you like.

You can rant and rave about debunkers and the end of the world till your little cheeks are blue.

But it doesn't change the fundamental fact that you wrote the above sentence, when the only time the word 'Liar' had been used by Darby was when he was quoting your own (completely unfounded) accusation to him.


How very, VERY embarrassing! (Quick, quick change the subject HDR!!!)

By the way, I just want it on record that I HAVE called you a liar in the past.

Quick CHANGE the subject!!!!!

That's a statement I'll stand by, too.

Very embarrassing, HDR. Very embarrassing indeed.

Quickly, seriously, VERY quickly, change the subject!!!
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

To rain:
You will notice that the economic collapse is taking place as predicted. Now if you scour the internet you will find people who predict martial law, gas shortages, etc. Simply because others agree with me says nothing. It is when my predictions come true that you claim that it was obvious.

To Skeptic:
Many people are waking up. The debunkers failed.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-tImRcEewE&feature=related

To Darby:
Our current deflationary depression will be replaced by inflation because our gov is running the printing presses like the German Weimar Republic. In a desperate attempt to keep the banks afloat the gov has flooded them with money. However, we face a situation where all systems will break down.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UgMx2F41XD0
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

The problem is, you NEVER want to talk about your failures...any of them. Beyond pointing to your failures with the Hillary and gas price "predictions" there are others.

Shall we now talk about your failure in your predictions about gold? I can dig up and quote MANY predictions in this thread alone. And where is the price of gold today?

A tad above $700/oz. So what happened to busting $1000/oz? And what happened to targeting $2000/oz?

Indeed, when one compares your "predictions" for the stock market against your "predictions" for gold, it becomes even more evident you were NOT "RVing the future", but rather using time-tested economic formulas that say "when the stock market goes bad, people buy gold as a safe haven". Unfortunately, the market has a habit of defying such attempts to quantify its performance... people are NOT buying gold in droves. While your economic forecasting about the market was good (and many others were predicting this bubble burst alongside you), your formula has failed with respect to gold.

RMT
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

Hi Skeptic:
Thank you.

Here is something interesting for you.

I believe that Barack Hussein Obama was born in Mombassa, Kenya thus disqualifying him for president.
I believe that John Sidney McCain was born in the Canal Zone of Panama, thus disqualifying him for president.

What interesting times we live in.

Hi rain:
How wrong you are. I freely admit to getting some predictions wrong. For example, I predicted that oil would go up, and it has gone down. Back in August 2008, I was paying $4.39/gallon for gasoline and now the price is below $2.50/gal for gas.

A debunker predicted that oil would go below $50/b and gasoline under $2/gal. I said that this was unlikely, but that it might happen if we discover a massive oil field. Well, guess what, we did not discover a massive petroleum deposit, but we could soon see oil under $50 and gas under $2.

Even with today's cut in output by OPEC oil still fell in trading. Had I know that oil would drop so much I would have waited before buying. You do not see everything.


246gas.jpg
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

Even with today's cut in output by OPEC oil still fell in trading. Had I know that oil would drop so much I would have waited before buying. You do not see everything.
Click to expand...

And what about all of those "followers" that you convinced to buy gasoline in bulk at a market top? Aside from admitting that you had no idea what the market would do do you plan to reimburse them for giving pattently bad advice to them? Afterall, the end of the world is coming according to you and you just talked them into blowing their "war fund" on all of that gasoline. You really should pay them back. You gave them market advice without any caveat and with a maximum of "you're going to die if you don't do what I say". You, at a minimum, owe Adam (Frog) an explanation. More than that a warning that maybe he shouldn't take your word on the state of the economy, the world and the future quite so literally. You should add that your posts are your socio-political opinions and nothing more than that.

And I told you so. I told you several months ago that the price of gasoline was going to drop percipititously by the end of October. And I was wrong about just how much it would drop.

This miss on gasoline isn't a minor glitch, Kid. It is the basis for your several year long rant. Peak Oil - the Sky is falling - all is doom - the world is going to end. It is the central idea of your entire thesis...and you got it completely wrong.

(And I bet your "friend" who sold you ~4,000 gallons of gasoline at $3.75 - $4.00/gal is laughing his ass off all the way to the bank. $13,000 for $8,500 in gasoline. He's probably thinking, "As Mr. Barnum said, 'There's one born every minute, Mr. Bailey.' ")
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

KId,

You also might want to apologise to and reimburse all those "followers" who took your advice in January and bought silver at $15. They've lost their "war funds" too as the bottom has fallen out of that market as they've seen the value of their asset fall to the $9 range where it's now selling at the January 2004 level.

And you made the same recommendation for them regarding gold when it was selling near $1000/oz in February. Seems the bottom has dropped out of that market as well, having lost almost $300/oz since your sage advice was given.

I've watched your market advice and it is no different than any other "buy at market top, sell at the market bottom" crap.

Enough of "the debunkers laughed" prattle. They were correct. You were badly and widely wrong. Hopefully not too many of your "followers" actually jumped in and lost their collective asses.
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

Kid:

How wrong you are. I freely admit to getting some predictions wrong.
Click to expand...

If you are actually being sincere about this, and will actually stay on this topic rather than just changing the subject, then you may get a chance to see me admit that I am wrong. It all depends upon how you react in the coming posts.

For example, I predicted that oil would go up, and it has gone down. Back in August 2008, I was paying $4.39/gallon for gasoline and now the price is below $2.50/gal for gas.

A debunker predicted that oil would go below $50/b and gasoline under $2/gal. I said that this was unlikely, but that it might happen if we discover a massive oil field. Well, guess what, we did not discover a massive petroleum deposit, but we could soon see oil under $50 and gas under $2.

Even with today's cut in output by OPEC oil still fell in trading. Had I know that oil would drop so much I would have waited before buying. You do not see everything.
Click to expand...

Very good. You are admitting to the things you got wrong. Now, let's stay on topic and look at the larger impact of SEVERAL issues that you got wrong... for therin lies sufficient evidence to demonstrate that you are not, in fact, "RVing the future" as much as you are making educated guesses. So let us look at the cumulative effects of all of the following "predictions" of yours that you clearly got wrong:

1) Gas price predictions (on several occasions now).
2) Hillary Clinton becoming President.
3) The market prices of both gold and silver.
4) Massive food shortages.

In light of the few "predictions" (which were by no means specific) that you got fairly close on, these predictions stand out as pretty much nullifying the chances that "RVing the future" was the reason for you getting the other ones right. It is nothing more than statistics, Kid. Your statistical average for hits vs. misses clearly show no greater relevance than "educated guessing". If you really want people to believe you are "RVing the future", then you have to show statistical significance, and that means your stats have to be clearly better than what one would get from "educated guesses".

One way you can improve your statistics is by giving a lot more detail in your predictions. In other words, give dates and numbers. On those cases where you did give dates and numbers, we see your accuracy is well below 50%...take gold and silver prices as just two examples.

Now, it is up to you. I am not going to hold my breath that you will stay on the subject here (which is you admitting to and discussing the impacts of your incorrect "predictions"). But if you do, I assure you I will remain civil with you. If you take your familiar tack and try to change the subject, then the scorn you receive is brought on by your own decisions and actions.

RMT
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

Ands let's not forget HDR's prediction that Kerry would become Prez at the previous election.
There's nothing to debunk Kid. If Rving worked we would not be having this argument.

I predict HDRKid's response....'You debunkers may laugh etc'

That's the only thing we can rely upon to have complete predictability here. /ttiforum/images/graemlins/smile.gif
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

And I predict that he will completely ignore these posts and continue...........

This means that one of us is RVing............scary! /ttiforum/images/graemlins/smile.gif
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

I predict that gas goes up after the election..LOL


I still say ---stay true the the predicting business HDR.

And what do you expect My time--Its predictive....-do me a favor and-Let him predict--

I see where beating him up makes no difference anymore..Even Bernake said he is using "predictive financing"


Let HDR--Make the predictions ... HDR.___.. Your call, man.

Predict...
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

Hi Kanigo:

In 1999 I made many predictions about what 2009 would look like. For example, videotape being replaced by DVD - which I admit was obvious. Film cameras replaced by digital cameras. TV going from analog to digital, LCD TV replacing tube TV, MP3 players replacing CD players, digital hard drive movie cameras replacing videotape movie cameras.

But there was one prediction that I got wrong.

I predicted that movie theaters would go from film to digital. Now there are two months left, but I am safe to say that by by 2009 most movie theaters will still use film projectors.

In fact, most film is shot on digital cameras, and converted to film.

However, I predicted that the local cinema would download digital movies over the internet and project them. I even went as far as to explain the benefits like, no more projectionists, ads tailored to the geographical region, super high res, plus if a movie bombs one day, you download a replacement and the next day you do not show the loser movie.

NOW, if back in 2005 all the cinemas had converted over to digital, in 2009 the skeptics would simply claim that my prediction was obvious and that film was ancient technology. BUT guess what, we still use old 35mm film projectors.

To Skeptic:
Got plenty of food and fuel. Using remote viewing I have seen shortages in the future. It is good to be prepared. When the dollar is worthless, silver will still have value.

Case in point. A silver quarter in 1964 would get you a gallon of gasoline, that same silver quarter can still buy you a gal of gas, even today. Funny how both silver and gasoline went down. The idea is that silver will retain its value over long periods of time.

To rain:
I still believe that gold will go to 2000. It might drop below 600 temporarily, but the trend is up! In the case of fuel, I held out waiting for the price to drop, but a shortage forced my hand, I was down to only 50 gallons, when I saw gasoline stations start to close. I moved fast.

Remember oil has many uses, transportation, is but one of them. Without it everything grinds to a halt. You will find that out soon enough. /ttiforum/images/graemlins/smile.gif

To Darby:
Here is an example of an idea that did not come true.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8-nnvtHvd0
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

HDRKid: However, I predicted that the local cinema would download digital movies over the internet and project them. I even went as far as to explain the benefits like, no more projectionists, ads tailored to the geographical region, super high res, plus if a movie bombs one day, you download a replacement and the next day you do not show the loser movie.
Click to expand...

Nice to see you owing up to your failed predictions for a change.

I have a question about your digital cinema prediction.

You say that a benefit would have been 'if a movie bombs one day, you download a replacement and the next day you do not show the loser movie'. However, given that cinema's have contracted deals with the distribution companies, theatrically released films could never just be 'dropped' in the manner you describe.

Digital technology or not, this is now how cinema's do business in this or any other worldline. So how do you describe your pointless 'prediction'? Did you really RV it? And if so why is there's a completely different business model for cinema chains in this future alternative dimension?

Let's face it, HDRkid. You just plain guessed didn't you?

Which brings me to another bugbear I have with you. If you truly can see the future, why is it always the price of oil you bang on about? The kind of thing any well-read person can forecast (probably, as many here have shown, with much better accuracy than you.)

Why can't, just for once, you produce a genuinely astonishing prediction that no one can argue with.

Is it because you know your claims are bullshit?

How about you RV next Wednesday and tell us something about that that will prove your RV claims are undeniable?

Here's a cast iron prediction.

You won't.

Know why?

Cos your Yeller!

*Makes chicken nosies*

Yeller ah tells ye!!!
 
Re: waiting for 7th october...2008

(sigh). Back to the same old Kid:

To rain:
I still believe that gold will go to 2000. It might drop below 600 temporarily, but the trend is up! In the case of fuel, I held out waiting for the price to drop, but a shortage forced my hand, I was down to only 50 gallons, when I saw gasoline stations start to close. I moved fast.
Click to expand...

You believe. You did not RV. And so, as I predicted, you are refusing to talk about the sum total of your missed predictions and how they work against your RV claims. You are, again, changing the subject. The reason is clear: Because you see that I have laid out a statistical argument for why your "predictions" are simply "educated guesses"... and you do not wish to admit it is so.

Oh well. /ttiforum/images/graemlins/tongue.gif
RMT
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top