Message To You All

Re: he was right

"If, indeed, the Chinese dump $3 trillion in reserves. "

Well, it certainly didn't happen on Monday, as predicted, now did it? There is this nasty form of crime called "attempted market manipulation" that some may be aware of. One clue to recognize when someone is trying to manipulate a market is when you hear of "unidentified sources close to a government negotiating team" who are passing on "inside information" for people to take action on. Another clue is when you hear such things revealed on commercial radio and/or TV rather than from a bona fide news outlet. My guess is that the person who was trying to manipulate the market with these clearly inaccurate words was a gold peddler. Imagine that!

Currency markets, especially with respect to the dollar, are tricky things. The "big lever" that the US uses to attempt to control the strength or weakness of the US$ is short-term interest rates. That really is the ONLY "lever" the FED has to do so. Furthermore, I think the economists in China know what would be in store for their own economy if they suddenly dumped the dollar and caused it to tank. Not only would this serve to REDUCE the US trade deficit with them (because the dollar would drop in value), but it would idle a significant portion of their manufacturing base. Who would they sell all their consumer stuff to? The US and China are linked at the hip. As goes the US economy, so goes China. Don't believe me? Ask the Japanese. In the Reagan era the US had large trade deficits with Japan. And when those trade deficits even began to level off in the early to mid 90s, and Japan had made some bad real estate deals, all that was left for Japan to save its economy from disaster was to devalue the yen. And then came 1997 and the broad asian economic downturn. In my view, I think China knows the score. They need a market to sell the ever-increasing manufacturing base to. That market (the biggest market) is the USA.
 
Re: he was right

That's exactly right. Even though China has 250 missiles with thermonuclear warheads aimed in our direction, not to worry. One of the more reliable likelihoods in life is that nobody is going to alienate or damage their best customer.

If you could get religion out of the Middle East (it seems impossible) business between nations would thrive and everyone would benefit. They still might not like each other, but business comes first.
 
Re: he was right

It appears we have a scholar who understands international economic relations in our new globally-connected economy. I would also like to add, for those who insist on swallowing the rumors of market manipulators, that some simple googling is all that is required to see that "people" have been making this same general prediction ("China is going to sell a lot of dollars") for at least the last two years now. At least two such articles did, in fact, appear on websites that encourage gold purchases and that actually will sell you gold. What I find most interesting is that these "predictions" have occurred like clockwork in December of 2005, December of 2004, and the first one I found was in December of 2003. Pattern or just coincidence? I'll leave that to the economically-savvy.

And I would also like to point out that the knowledge I share on this topic comes from my wife, who received her MBA in economics from the University of Chicago. If you do a little research on the number of Nobel laureates in economics that have come from this institution, you will understand why people who come out of this program are highly sought-out for their deep understanding of macroeconomics.
 
In Response to: As for Art Bell, well Art Bell is a man of many secrets. Things that will shock his fans. Big mistake moving to where he moved.


He called it! Art said this past weekend he should have stayed in the USA and that he will stay here for good.
 
Re: he was right

When you time travel to the past and then go back to the time in which you came from in the future, things are not always the same as before. For example, Qronos 16 said the Stock Market would hit 12000 and then some and crash. But I tell you now the market will go over 13000 and then this economy will break and fall!! I must say Qronos seems to have been from the future. The things that will come up on this nation will be for all the lies and wrong this nation has done in this world. For now I will tell you this, the war is not far off now and the deception is soon to happen. Do not be fooled by the deception that will come soon!! Stand strong and you will be safe.
 
In the hindsight of this new economic depression one has to wonder about the validity of qronos16s words.

Amongst other things considering scott as qronos1.

mop , you may of just had your hit here again

He did call the true valuation of the dow at 6500 or there abouts....and the bottom crashed at 6500.07
That kind of accuracy should give anyone a second pause especially considering the unpredictability of economics.
 
The Qronos twins had other hits on their predictions too.... they had misses as well but those hits..... I mean holy moly That economic call was down to the .01 correct....

John Titor wasn't the only one.. he just got to be the first to post online about it.
 
titorite said:
He did call the true valuation of the dow at 6500 or there abouts....and the bottom crashed at 6500.07
That kind of accuracy should give anyone a second pause especially considering the unpredictability of economics.
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It was an interesting call but it does beg the question:

Is it unprecidented for a market analyst to call top or bottom DOW movement resistence at a point of even 1000's or even 500's? The answer, unfortunately is no. It's not a difficult call. The stock markets are driven by both financial fundamentals and investor psychology. Take a look at the market resistence for the DOW to break 10,000 in 1998-1999. Analysts tend to call for both market tops and bottoms on even 500's and 1000's. Shakers and movers tend to get nervous when the market trends to those limits. They jump in at psychological bottoms and get out at psychological tops. So in a sense the analysts' calls become a sort of self-fulfilling prophesy. The range is generally an accurate view of the fundamental financial issues driving the market. The specific number (500, 1000) is psychological.

Remember, the DOW is a very specific industrial market index. There are only 40 companies in the DOW. Big and market influential companys indeed. But still only 40.

So, while I'm not completely downplaying the call, it was in line with the psychological call for a market bottom. A lot more evidence would have to be offered for me to be impressed to the point that I'd say it had to be time travel related.
 
Darby no amount of evidence will ever be good enough for you... You have faith that it is impossible and faith can not be challenged with facts..

I mean, a psychic insiders could not of guessed that with that accuracy. In all my years of following stock numbers the only person I have ever seen get truly close is reinhart from enterprise corruption. And he just bases his guesses off past market indicators.


No qronos here has a dead on hit... something RMT asked him specifically for and something he was provided as asked,.


RMT your year of silence is long over.... why remain silent on this? You got what you asked for verbatim.
 
RainmanTime said:
What exactly did he get "right" about the stock market "so far"? Given the past history of the stock market to go up over the long haul, anyone could have predicted 12,000.

And let me point out that he never quantified WHEN this crash would happen... and you know I will be looking out to make sure no one calls a 1-2% correction as him being "right".

He said TOTAL crash. By anyone's barometer that has to mean at LEAST 50% (and I am being generous there).

Ain't gonna happen. But you can spin all you want.
RMT
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Crow. It doesn't taste that damn bad.
 
I like how someone asked for something EXACT! and then something EXACT was delievered and now the delusion alleged skeptics are proving their psudeoness.


Props to one man though.


I mean getting something like this .. something you asked for ... something statistically impossible ....



Sometimes life presents you with miracles or mysteries. Sometimes they can even defy our understanding of the laws of the universe as we know them.

He got more than 50%... qronos called it too the number.... and it was not his only hit. Just the most unlikely one.
 
titorite said:
I like how someone asked for something EXACT! and then something EXACT was delievered and now the delusion alleged skeptics are proving their psudeoness.
Click to expand...

And all you can do is indirectly refer to it, rather than quote exactly what you mean. That implies it is not what you are making it out to be.

I mean getting something like this .. something you asked for ... something statistically impossible ....
Click to expand...

Second time you refer to "something" but not only do you not quote that "something" that you think is earth shattering, you do not even describe it. Mountain. Mole hill.

He got more than 50%... qronos called it too the number.... and it was not his only hit. Just the most unlikely one.
Click to expand...

Prove it and quote directly. I am calling you on your bullshit, titorite. No more innuendo. Put up or STFU. You are testing my patience (again....and you just love doing this).

I challenge you to quote specifically what you believe Qronos got so right. And then, if you have the balls to actually do it, we will see just how much it stands up to the level of veracity that you wish to infer. If it was so close to a real prediction, methinks you would have no trouble doing it.

I am tired of your BS. Respond to the challenge, or post to this thread no more.
RMT
 
And BTW, titorite, what you are doing is classic troll behavior. And yet you wonder and whine why you were banned by that other site?
RMT
 
Oh my god RMT. Their is no call to be so rude. I think you are in a habit of being this rude online. Anyways it was what you posted. Their isn't anything indirect about it. By your own words you asked for a cut by half and got it. But never mind. I had no idea you had such strong feelings about it. Please forgive my working you up.
 
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