RainmanTime
Super Moderator
Re: Disease
What makes you think this is "strange and newly contagious"?
Yes, indeed. How far and wide did you look? And did you look for something that would NOT confirm what you wanted to find? (i.e. did you actively avoid confirmation bias?)
I ask because it only took me a couple minutes to find the following by backtracking links to the ProMed reporting site:
<font color="red"> "I received the following email from Chuck Dolejs of the International
Association of Emergency Managers regarding a Sound of Hope web page
updated [26 Jul 2008]. Has this outbreak been verified by authorities?" [/COLOR]
Emphasis mine. But there is even more:
<font color="red"> "Using the database of the Global Infectious Disease and Epidemiology
Network (GIDEON <http://gideononline.com>) to see possible etiologies
for a hemorrhagic fever syndrome in China, the most likely diagnosis
would be Old World hantavirus infection (57 percent probability),
followed by _Streptococcus suis_ infection (40 percent), leptospirosis
(1.8 percent) and Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF -- less than
one percent probability).
According to the GIDEON database, hantaviruses are endemic in 28 of
the 32 provinces, with most cases occurring in the eastern and
northeastern provinces (where Shandong is located). Hantaan virus is
endemic to Hubei, Heilongjiang, Jiangxi, Jilin and Shanxi. (Fang LQ,
Li CY, Yang H, Wu XM, Yang H, Chen HX, Li XW, Cao WC " [/COLOR]
So, if you understand what they are saying here, then you will understand why I asked you (above) what made you think this was "strange and newly contagious". Hantavirus is not strange or newly contagious. It has been known for a long time, and as indicated above it is known to be endemic of the very areas cited by your original link.
My reason for pointing all of this out is to provide a real example of why it is usually not a good idea for people who are not experts in these areas to "sound an alarm bell". So in conclusion, I see nothing in what you offered that would threaten the Olympics. But I can understand why you might want to try to get people to think "something may happen to make Titor right."
RMT
What makes you think this is "strange and newly contagious"?
Yes, indeed. How far and wide did you look? And did you look for something that would NOT confirm what you wanted to find? (i.e. did you actively avoid confirmation bias?)
I ask because it only took me a couple minutes to find the following by backtracking links to the ProMed reporting site:
<font color="red"> "I received the following email from Chuck Dolejs of the International
Association of Emergency Managers regarding a Sound of Hope web page
updated [26 Jul 2008]. Has this outbreak been verified by authorities?" [/COLOR]
Emphasis mine. But there is even more:
<font color="red"> "Using the database of the Global Infectious Disease and Epidemiology
Network (GIDEON <http://gideononline.com>) to see possible etiologies
for a hemorrhagic fever syndrome in China, the most likely diagnosis
would be Old World hantavirus infection (57 percent probability),
followed by _Streptococcus suis_ infection (40 percent), leptospirosis
(1.8 percent) and Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever (CCHF -- less than
one percent probability).
According to the GIDEON database, hantaviruses are endemic in 28 of
the 32 provinces, with most cases occurring in the eastern and
northeastern provinces (where Shandong is located). Hantaan virus is
endemic to Hubei, Heilongjiang, Jiangxi, Jilin and Shanxi. (Fang LQ,
Li CY, Yang H, Wu XM, Yang H, Chen HX, Li XW, Cao WC " [/COLOR]
So, if you understand what they are saying here, then you will understand why I asked you (above) what made you think this was "strange and newly contagious". Hantavirus is not strange or newly contagious. It has been known for a long time, and as indicated above it is known to be endemic of the very areas cited by your original link.
My reason for pointing all of this out is to provide a real example of why it is usually not a good idea for people who are not experts in these areas to "sound an alarm bell". So in conclusion, I see nothing in what you offered that would threaten the Olympics. But I can understand why you might want to try to get people to think "something may happen to make Titor right."
RMT
