RainmanTime
Super Moderator
Re: Time To Tie A Bow Around It
Roel,
All of these quotes show precisely why we need to discuss probability, the Gaussian normal distribution (bell shaped curve), and how it all pertains (as yet more evidence) to my statements about God, Energy, and self-awareness. We also really need to discuss it because it is precisely this subject that you do NOT want to discuss, as you refuse to answer my question with regard to probability of the universe being purposefully created, or just a big accident. If you continue to ignore these issues, and not wish to discuss them, I can only infer it is because you know it will be yet another link in my list of evidence. Oh yes, this was another one you missed from your list of my argument: Probability theory says design of systems with tight operating tolerances is more normative (closer to the center of the Gaussian distribution) than complex things forming by accident (further out from the center, closer to the edges of the distribution).
Your claims about how you believe your "normative" state of mind when you are awake and aware deliver you the best, most accurate picture of "reality" means that you tend to only believe those things that fall in the center of the bell-shaped curve. 1-Sigma is called one standard deviation from the center (norm) of this curve, and it aligns with 68% of the distribution...or 68% certainty. 2-Sigma gets you 95% of the total distribution. From what you are saying about how you only believe what your waking mind tells you as real, I would say that you probably only believe things if they are within 1-Sigma of the norm, would you? If your dream states or other altered mind states are out at 95% or further, you are saying these are much more highly questionable as far as being real...right? I think this is what you are saying.
This is exactly why we need to talk what proabilities are when it comes to whether we think the universe was designed, or whether it came about by accident. I can tell you that the probability that the universe came about by accident is easily beyond the 2-Sigma (95%) range. It is pretty much in the 3-Sigma and beyond range (99.7%). That is HIGHLY unlikely. I think one could also support the claim that the probability of the universe being purposefully brought into being (designed to meet its tight tolerances) is surely within 2-Sigma, and maybe pretty close to 1-Sigma, if not within it. In other words, closer to the norm.
So....you believe your "normative" senses within the 68% band, but you believe the universe came about by accident, which is beyond 95% from the norm? That is not a consistent view, or approach, to probabilistic reasoning. In essence, that is not scientific at all, Roel. This probability stuff is at the heart and soul of the safety evaluations for the systems I work on, so I think I know what I am talking about. I'd like you to address how you can use probabilities in two very different ways to justify very different beliefs?
Ah yes, I'd agree...or at least I would agree the tree has a higher probability of exhibiting some traits of awareness. Now do you know that the earth itself exhibits a level of awareness? And that it is related to how the earth uses and exhibits energy around it? And that spirals (recurring theme!) play a very big part in these energetic expressions of the earth's self-awareness? Indeed, there are two very powerful forces of earth energy that manifest as spirals: Hurricanes and tornadoes. Would you like to discuss how, even in our advanced knowledge of today, we still do not really know the mechanisms by which both of these storms form? It really has to do with how the earth "thinks", or is self-aware, if you will.
Do you know what a Golem is? If one can be (or has been) created, then this would greatly increase that "theoretical" possibility, wouldn't it? I'd say, if a Golem could be created that can "think for itself" and be self-aware, that the possibility that we were also purposefully created is....oh...certainly in the believable range of probability.
Well, certainly with the evidence we have on all different animals (there are dolphins and whales too), I would say it is not that much of a stretch to say we know there is a continuum of awareness to somewhere over 95% certainty. That's enough for me to conclude it is true.
This statement would tend to say you are ignorant (i.e. unaware or uninformed) about the details of many of the ways that energy exhibits itself, naturally, around the earth. The earth may not make "decisions" in the same way that you think of what a decision is. However, the myriad of energetic displays that the earth is capable of generating can be very complex, In addition to hurricanes and tornados, we also have lightning storms, earthquakes, aurora, and do you know what sprites are? These energy forms are expressions of how the energy of the earth is shifting. They are the earth's signs of life, literally.
You seem to be using linear logic to decide what to believe. At least that would be "normative". You gave absolutely no reply about the concept of non-linear logic, or the link that I supplied. Did you look at it? Do you wish to talk about how the linear logic we have used for years, and which we think defines our reality, is incomplete? This is really my purpose for bringing up the Incompleteness Theorem. It is relavant to learning how to employ non-linearity in how we think. If linear logic only gets us to 1-Sigma probability, then non-linear can get us out to 2-Sigma or better, right? And don't you think exploiting non-linearity is going to be a large part of achieving time travel? Well...if you don't, let me clue you in as someone who understands the science of non-linear behavior...it is. We will not achieve time travel without closed-loop, non-linear control systems. I know this for a fact.
OK. These two statements are completly contradictory, and you cannot deny they are not! Either you never claimed it, or you have shown me it is flawed on multiple occasions...which is it? For the record, I do not recall you ever showing me how my energy reasoning is technically\ flawed, on ANY occasion. If you actually did, then it should not be a big deal for you to reconstruct that explanation to me....OK?
OK...so help me understand "highly unlikely". In the world of aerospace (actually, in the world of the US Federal Aviation Adminisation) the specific words "extremely remote" have a very specific numerical meaning for probability of an event. This range of probabilities is between 1x10^-7 and 1x10^-9. That is from 1-in-10 million to 1-in-1 billion. Is this the sort of range you mean with "highly unlikely"?
The earth shows self-awareness in how energy is constantly played-out around the globe. You may not think it is self-awareness, but this is only because you are using your narrow human view to gauge self-awareness. If you apply non-linear logic to look deeper, you can see and understand the earth, which is also energy, expresses itself in a great many different ways.
I am not disputing your conclusions, and I am not taking them out of context. The context is normal distributions and the probabilities that go with them. I am pointing out your conflicting views. You only believe what your mind tells you when it is in the "normative" state...near the center of the bell-shaped curve. And yet you also believe that the universe came about by accident, which is VERY far from the normative mean of the bell-shaped curve. Those two beliefs are contradictory, with respect to how you apply probability.
Of course it is still free will. You are being silly now. The fact that YOU are the one permitted to make the decision means you are FREE to exercise your WILL. You make the decision, so it is free will. It is no less free will just because God knows all decisions you will consider, and can make, across many different timelines. In fact, this is another bit of "evidence" for reincarnation. In past lives, you have "done this before", and you HAVE made different decisions in those other lives.
RMT
Roel,
Well... I guess I'm about 90% sure. There's an uncertainty factor.
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I admit that it sounds quite logical that there's a scale, but we can never be 100% certain.
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However, from a scientific point of view there is simply no evidence (0%) that energy is selfaware.
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We can both have our own theories, but we can't possibly be 100% certain.
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Now I am aware of the fact that using logic will provide 100% solid proof and I never claimed that either.
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/ttiforum/images/graemlins/confused.gif
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Not if I can help it...
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Oh yes, that ball was at least 5 sigma out.
All of these quotes show precisely why we need to discuss probability, the Gaussian normal distribution (bell shaped curve), and how it all pertains (as yet more evidence) to my statements about God, Energy, and self-awareness. We also really need to discuss it because it is precisely this subject that you do NOT want to discuss, as you refuse to answer my question with regard to probability of the universe being purposefully created, or just a big accident. If you continue to ignore these issues, and not wish to discuss them, I can only infer it is because you know it will be yet another link in my list of evidence. Oh yes, this was another one you missed from your list of my argument: Probability theory says design of systems with tight operating tolerances is more normative (closer to the center of the Gaussian distribution) than complex things forming by accident (further out from the center, closer to the edges of the distribution).
Your claims about how you believe your "normative" state of mind when you are awake and aware deliver you the best, most accurate picture of "reality" means that you tend to only believe those things that fall in the center of the bell-shaped curve. 1-Sigma is called one standard deviation from the center (norm) of this curve, and it aligns with 68% of the distribution...or 68% certainty. 2-Sigma gets you 95% of the total distribution. From what you are saying about how you only believe what your waking mind tells you as real, I would say that you probably only believe things if they are within 1-Sigma of the norm, would you? If your dream states or other altered mind states are out at 95% or further, you are saying these are much more highly questionable as far as being real...right? I think this is what you are saying.
This is exactly why we need to talk what proabilities are when it comes to whether we think the universe was designed, or whether it came about by accident. I can tell you that the probability that the universe came about by accident is easily beyond the 2-Sigma (95%) range. It is pretty much in the 3-Sigma and beyond range (99.7%). That is HIGHLY unlikely. I think one could also support the claim that the probability of the universe being purposefully brought into being (designed to meet its tight tolerances) is surely within 2-Sigma, and maybe pretty close to 1-Sigma, if not within it. In other words, closer to the norm.
So....you believe your "normative" senses within the 68% band, but you believe the universe came about by accident, which is beyond 95% from the norm? That is not a consistent view, or approach, to probabilistic reasoning. In essence, that is not scientific at all, Roel. This probability stuff is at the heart and soul of the safety evaluations for the systems I work on, so I think I know what I am talking about. I'd like you to address how you can use probabilities in two very different ways to justify very different beliefs?
I think it's more likely for a tree to be selfaware than a rock.
Ah yes, I'd agree...or at least I would agree the tree has a higher probability of exhibiting some traits of awareness. Now do you know that the earth itself exhibits a level of awareness? And that it is related to how the earth uses and exhibits energy around it? And that spirals (recurring theme!) play a very big part in these energetic expressions of the earth's self-awareness? Indeed, there are two very powerful forces of earth energy that manifest as spirals: Hurricanes and tornadoes. Would you like to discuss how, even in our advanced knowledge of today, we still do not really know the mechanisms by which both of these storms form? It really has to do with how the earth "thinks", or is self-aware, if you will.
No, this does not necessarily imply that we were created as well, although there is a theoretical possibility.
Do you know what a Golem is? If one can be (or has been) created, then this would greatly increase that "theoretical" possibility, wouldn't it? I'd say, if a Golem could be created that can "think for itself" and be self-aware, that the possibility that we were also purposefully created is....oh...certainly in the believable range of probability.
I admit that it sounds quite logical that there's a scale, but we can never be 100% certain.
Well, certainly with the evidence we have on all different animals (there are dolphins and whales too), I would say it is not that much of a stretch to say we know there is a continuum of awareness to somewhere over 95% certainty. That's enough for me to conclude it is true.
I could have added that to the list as well, but it's still no evidence. Again, the fact that energy is required for creation only shows that it's a requirement, nothing more, nothing less.
This statement would tend to say you are ignorant (i.e. unaware or uninformed) about the details of many of the ways that energy exhibits itself, naturally, around the earth. The earth may not make "decisions" in the same way that you think of what a decision is. However, the myriad of energetic displays that the earth is capable of generating can be very complex, In addition to hurricanes and tornados, we also have lightning storms, earthquakes, aurora, and do you know what sprites are? These energy forms are expressions of how the energy of the earth is shifting. They are the earth's signs of life, literally.
I'm using logic to decide for myself what to believe and what not to believe. Now I am aware of the fact that using logic will provide 100% solid proof and I never claimed that either.
You seem to be using linear logic to decide what to believe. At least that would be "normative". You gave absolutely no reply about the concept of non-linear logic, or the link that I supplied. Did you look at it? Do you wish to talk about how the linear logic we have used for years, and which we think defines our reality, is incomplete? This is really my purpose for bringing up the Incompleteness Theorem. It is relavant to learning how to employ non-linearity in how we think. If linear logic only gets us to 1-Sigma probability, then non-linear can get us out to 2-Sigma or better, right? And don't you think exploiting non-linearity is going to be a large part of achieving time travel? Well...if you don't, let me clue you in as someone who understands the science of non-linear behavior...it is. We will not achieve time travel without closed-loop, non-linear control systems. I know this for a fact.
Say what you want, but I still think your reasoning regarding energy is flawed and I've shown why on multiple occasions.
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I never claimed you were overapplying the concepts of energy.
OK. These two statements are completly contradictory, and you cannot deny they are not! Either you never claimed it, or you have shown me it is flawed on multiple occasions...which is it? For the record, I do not recall you ever showing me how my energy reasoning is technically\ flawed, on ANY occasion. If you actually did, then it should not be a big deal for you to reconstruct that explanation to me....OK?
but we can't possibly be 100% certain. In my opinion it seems highly unlikely that an intelligent, selfaware creator "gave rise" to the universe.
OK...so help me understand "highly unlikely". In the world of aerospace (actually, in the world of the US Federal Aviation Adminisation) the specific words "extremely remote" have a very specific numerical meaning for probability of an event. This range of probabilities is between 1x10^-7 and 1x10^-9. That is from 1-in-10 million to 1-in-1 billion. Is this the sort of range you mean with "highly unlikely"?
However, you are attributing selfawareness to energy, which you still haven't been able to proof.
The earth shows self-awareness in how energy is constantly played-out around the globe. You may not think it is self-awareness, but this is only because you are using your narrow human view to gauge self-awareness. If you apply non-linear logic to look deeper, you can see and understand the earth, which is also energy, expresses itself in a great many different ways.
If anyone should get a prize for taking words out of context, it's you. Geesh, unbelievable.
I doubt you read the rest of the paragraph at all, but I think it was quite clear that I was talking about MY personal experiences with dreams and deja-vu's. Therefore you are in no position to dispute the conclusions I have made.
I am not disputing your conclusions, and I am not taking them out of context. The context is normal distributions and the probabilities that go with them. I am pointing out your conflicting views. You only believe what your mind tells you when it is in the "normative" state...near the center of the bell-shaped curve. And yet you also believe that the universe came about by accident, which is VERY far from the normative mean of the bell-shaped curve. Those two beliefs are contradictory, with respect to how you apply probability.
So I wouldn't be able to make a decision that God does not know about, even if I wanted? That's not free will!!!!
Of course it is still free will. You are being silly now. The fact that YOU are the one permitted to make the decision means you are FREE to exercise your WILL. You make the decision, so it is free will. It is no less free will just because God knows all decisions you will consider, and can make, across many different timelines. In fact, this is another bit of "evidence" for reincarnation. In past lives, you have "done this before", and you HAVE made different decisions in those other lives.
RMT