overman,
1. civil war in iraq. within 5 years
That's a pretty wide range but it could come to pass.
2. civil war in zimbabwe. within 7 years
Same as #1
3. big ben gets hit and there are 3 other terrorist attacks on the uk and then they have martial law for three months within 7 years
Same as #1 and #2. Given a 7 year window its possible that the UK could have three terrorist attacks. It could be al-Queda, PLO, PFLP, some other Middle Eastern group or even Sean Fain. It could even be any combination of them (three seperate and unrelated events). It also depends on who or what is classified as a "terrorist group" 500 years from now. Its a pretty vague statement, but still a possibility given the window and vagueness.
4. the pope dies eaither this year or next year + April 2, 2005
That one was pretty easy. The Pope was a sick and elderly man. But (see comments below), 500 years from now they know silly details about Britney Spears and they remember The Simpsons but they don't know when the Pope died?
5. britney spears will pose nude within 2 years + August 2006
Not unusual for a "celebrity", especially a fading one, to pose nude to get a Q boost. But 500 years from now they even
know who Britney Spears is?
6. an asteroid or nuke will hit russia killing 3 million people in 2007
Possible. But they don't know which it was - nuclear weapon or asteroid? Even 500 years from now there will still be radioactive materials present indicating a nuclear detonation (if that is what it is supposed to be).
7. ossama bin laden will be caught and then islamic radicals will free him. very close to the time that iraq goes into civil war.
Possible. And nice to know that al-Queda looses. If they had won, 500 years from now historians aren't likely to refer to them as "radicals".
8. namibia will go like zimbabwe is now. within 3 years
Possible.
9. simpsons will make a movie within 2-3 years + Filming: July 2007
Not unusual. Flintstones had a movie too.
Again, like Britney, they even know who The Simpsons were 500 years from now?
10. bush - nobel prize for peace
Which one?
When?
11. british defence secretary gets assassinated by mi6, they blame it on terrorists.
Possible, but not likely. When?
(November)
1. "The same as now except pluto and sedna aren't classed as planets and we have found two more." + Pluto loses status as a planet August 2006
Pluto was an easy call. When I was an undergrad in the 70's taking astronomy and cosmology Pluto was discussed as an object that was due to be reclassified as a non-planetary body. Sedna was never being considered as a "planet". As to finding "two more" he was pretty vague. Two more "what"? I think that astronomers have classified several hundred Sedna-like objects in the orbit of Pluto. They've discovered several thousand smaller bodies in the area. Its similar to the inner asteroid belt.
(April)
1. Civil war will start within the year (1 May).
Pretty good call. A civil war will start within a year somewhere on planet Earth. A statement about where it would occur would have been nice.
2. America will not attack Iran with ground forces. It will be an Israeli lead operation.
Poorly stated. It can never be falsified. If you wait 100 years for America to attack Iran and it doesn't occur there's always "tomorrow". And it doesn't actually say that Israel attacks Iran nor does it say that Israel will attack with ground forces. Its pretty hard to tell what this particular "prediction" is.
Israel won't be launching a ground attack against Iran. They'd have to cross Syria and Iraq or Jordan and Iraq. In any case, Iran is about 750 miles from Israel "as the crow flies". A track might have to drive 1,000 miles. They'd better have some huge gas tanks because I don't think the local Jordanian or Iraqi "BP" station will let them use their credit cards to "fill 'er up".