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United States presidential election, 1992


Classicalfan626

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Introduction

This is a revision of the United States presidential election of 1992.

The election was a three-way race between incumbent Republican President George H. W. Bush, Democrat Bill Clinton, and Independent Ross Perot. In the current timeline, Clinton beat Bush by around 6 percentage points (about 43% to about 37%), with Perot coming in third at around 18%. This revised version of history makes this 1992 victory for Clinton quite a bit narrower. In this revision, Clinton has 37.7% of the popular vote compared to Bush’s 36.4%, and Perot’s whopping 25.1%, for a victory margin of more than 1 percentage point between Clinton and Bush, making the popular vote a very close race!

I’m doing this because of Republican President Ronald Reagan’s popularity which is carried on to George H. W. Bush, and this revised election reflects on comparison with the revised 1988 election, where Bush beats Democrat Michael Dukakis by close to 19 percentage points. The fact that Bush was a RINO who lied about his 1988 campaign promises diminishes his popularity among the patriotic American (“conservative”) base and leads to Perot taking millions of votes away from Bush. In this scenario, Bush would have beaten Clinton by a landslide margin nonetheless if it weren’t for Perot.

The revised election below is organized state-by-state in alphabetical order, for a total of 50 states plus the District of Columbia.
 

United States presidential election, 1992 (results estimated)

Alabama

George H. W. Bush (R): 605,082 (43.4%)
Bill Clinton (D): 489,088 (35.1%)
Ross Perot (I): 288,463 (20.7%)
Other: 11,578 (0.8%)
Total: 1,394,211
 

Alaska

Bush: 76,233 (37.5%)
Clinton: 64,618 (31.8%)
Perot: 58,562 (28.8%)
Other: 3,703 (1.8%)
Total: 203,116
 

Arizona

Bush: 387,526 (39.3%)
Clinton: 347,052 (35.2%)
Perot: 238,229 (24.2%)
Other: 12,114 (1.2%)
Total: 984,921
 

Arkansas

Clinton: 516,266 (51.8%)
Bush: 303,723 (30.5%)
Perot: 167,708 (16.8%)
Other: 8,775 (0.9%)
Total: 996,472
 

California

Clinton: 3,718,853 (37.8%)
Bush: 3,356,422 (34.1%)
Perot: 2,681,792 (27.2%)
Other: 91,598 (0.9%)
Total: 9,848,665
 

Colorado

Clinton: 456,235 (37%)
Bush: 423,672 (34.3%)
Perot: 329,566 (26.7%)
Other: 23,933 (1.9%)
Total: 1,233,406
 

Connecticut

Clinton: 560,660 (41.4%)
Bush: 434,413 (32.1%)
Perot: 338,375 (25%)
Other: 21,137 (1.6%)
Total: 1,354,585
 

Delaware

Clinton: 102,721 (40.5%)
Bush: 86,656 (34.2%)
Perot: 61,673 (24.3%)
Other: 2,356 (0.9%)
Total: 253,406
 

District of Columbia

Clinton: 170,402 (82.7%)
Bush: 21,835 (10.6%)
Perot: 9,582 (4.7%)
Other: 4,146 (2%)
Total: 205,965
 

Florida

Bush: 1,746,771 (40.4%)
Clinton: 1,503,409 (34.8%)
Perot: 1,055,588 (24.4%)
Other: 16,864 (0.4%)
Total: 4,322,632
 

Georgia

Clinton: 666,960 (35.8%)
Bush: 662,486 (35.5%)
Perot: 488,992 (26.2%)
Other: 45,103 (2.4%)
Total: 1,863,541
 

Hawaii

Clinton: 163,090 (47.7%)
Bush: 115,247 (33.7%)
Perot: 60,257 (17.6%)
Other: 3,386 (1%)
Total: 341,980
 

Idaho

Bush: 209,301 (42%)
Clinton: 139,536 (28%)
Perot: 136,647 (27.4%)
Other: 12,505 (2.5%)
Total: 497,989
 

Illinois

Clinton: 2,140,439 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,875,038 (33.8%)
Perot: 1,512,470 (27.2%)
Other: 24,436 (0.4%)
Total: 5,552,383
 

Indiana

Bush: 992,389 (42.9%)
Clinton: 841,404 (36.4%)
Perot: 466,370 (20.2%)
Other: 12,029 (0.5%)
Total: 2,312,192
 

Iowa

Clinton: 552,750 (39.9%)
Bush: 516,445 (37.3%)
Perot: 306,377 (22.1%)
Other: 10,121 (0.7%)
Total: 1,385,693
 

Kansas

Bush: 393,800 (38.9%)
Clinton: 337,690 (33.3%)
Perot: 277,423 (27.4%)
Other: 3,956 (0.4%)
Total: 1,012,869
 

Kentucky

Clinton: 550,476 (38.6%)
Bush: 525,396 (36.9%)
Perot: 342,856 (24.1%)
Other: 6,276 (0.4%)
Total: 1,425,004
 

Louisiana

Clinton: 645,836 (37.3%)
Bush: 585,283 (33.8%)
Perot: 453,452 (26.2%)
Other: 45,506 (2.6%)
Total: 1,730,077
 

Maine

Clinton: 220,662 (37.1%)
Bush: 184,341 (31%)
Perot: 187,015 (31.5%)
Other: 2,443 (0.4%)
Total: 594,461
 

Maryland

Clinton: 729,295 (42.6%)
Bush: 555,320 (32.4%)
Perot: 420,900 (24.6%)
Other: 6,855 (0.4%)
Total: 1,712,370
 

Massachusetts

Clinton: 1,098,590 (38.8%)
Bush: 964,666 (34.1%)
Perot: 750,329 (26.5%)
Other: 17,844 (0.6%)
Total: 2,831,429
 

Michigan

Clinton: 1,632,231 (37.2%)
Bush: 1,593,630 (36.3%)
Perot: 1,136,116 (25.9%)
Other: 24,571 (0.6%)
Total: 4,386,548
 

Minnesota

Clinton: 911,571 (43.1%)
Bush: 673,946 (31.8%)
Perot: 515,458 (24.4%)
Other: 15,030 (0.7%)
Total: 2,116,005
 

Mississippi

Bush: 457,322 (44.2%)
Clinton: 328,654 (31.8%)
Perot: 218,277 (21.1%)
Other: 29,253 (2.8%)
Total: 1,033,506
 

Missouri

Clinton: 874,545 (37.3%)
Bush: 825,595 (35.2%)
Perot: 587,637 (25.1%)
Other: 54,343 (2.3%)
Total: 2,342,120
 

Montana

Clinton: 152,494 (37.2%)
Bush: 143,851 (35.1%)
Perot: 108,585 (26.5%)
Other: 4,675 (1.1%)
Total: 409,605
 

Nebraska

Bush: 338,273 (46.6%)
Clinton: 210,638 (29%)
Perot: 174,482 (24%)
Other: 2,838 (0.4%)
Total: 726,231
 

Nevada

Clinton: 111,262 (35.1%)
Bush: 108,279 (34.1%)
Perot: 92,316 (29.1%)
Other: 5,496 (1.7%)
Total: 317,353
 

New Hampshire

Clinton: 162,067 (36.8%)
Bush: 159,822 (36.3%)
Perot: 114,330 (26%)
Other: 4,190 (1%)
Total: 440,409
 

New Jersey

Clinton: 1,312,017 (37.8%)
Bush: 1,297,793 (37.4%)
Perot: 829,464 (23.9%)
Other: 29,840 (0.9%)
Total: 3,469,114
 

New Mexico

Clinton: 234,316 (42.9%)
Bush: 201,358 (36.9%)
Perot: 106,520 (19.5%)
Other: 3,498 (0.6%)
Total: 545,692
 

New York

Clinton: 3,339,293 (39.3%)
Bush: 2,855,672 (33.6%)
Perot: 2,236,267 (26.4%)
Other: 55,167 (0.7%)
Total: 8,486,399
 

North Carolina

Bush: 909,687 (38.1%)
Clinton: 848,613 (35.6%)
Perot: 598,825 (25.1%)
Other: 28,635 (1.2%)
Total: 2,385,760
 

North Dakota

Bush: 149,525 (44.2%)
Clinton: 107,463 (31.8%)
Perot: 79,364 (23.5%)
Other: 1,798 (0.5%)
Total: 338,150
 

Ohio

Clinton: 1,786,078 (37.1%)
Bush: 1,770,182 (36.7%)
Perot: 1,236,962 (25.7%)
Other: 23,608 (0.5%)
Total: 4,816,830
 

Oklahoma

Bush: 495,620 (43.6%)
Clinton: 336,319 (29.6%)
Perot: 288,518 (25.4%)
Other: 14,994 (1.3%)
Total: 1,135,451
 

Oregon

Clinton: 461,843 (42.1%)
Bush: 357,030 (32.5%)
Perot: 270,106 (24.6%)
Other: 8,567 (0.8%)
Total: 1,097,546
 

Pennsylvania

Clinton: 2,087,161 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,901,998 (35.1%)
Perot: 1,396,858 (25.8%)
Other: 28,160 (0.5%)
Total: 5,414,177
 

Rhode Island

Clinton: 215,742 (46.6%)
Bush: 134,287 (29%)
Perot: 108,984 (23.6%)
Other: 3,568 (0.8%)
Total: 462,581
 

South Carolina

Bush: 420,745 (39.2%)
Clinton: 379,091 (35.3%)
Perot: 267,865 (24.9%)
Other: 5,911 (0.6%)
Total: 1,073,612
 

South Dakota

Bush: 146,447 (40.7%)
Clinton: 132,329 (36.7%)
Perot: 79,961 (22.2%)
Other: 1,447 (0.4%)
Total: 360,184
 

Tennessee

Clinton: 736,741 (41.1%)
Bush: 663,766 (37%)
Perot: 385,317 (21.5%)
Other: 7,178 (0.4%)
Total: 1,793,002
 

Texas

Bush: 2,327,807 (41.1%)
Clinton: 1,841,385 (32.5%)
Perot: 1,480,251 (26.1%)
Other: 19,848 (0.4%)
Total: 5,669,291
 

Utah

Bush: 289,540 (43.4%)
Clinton: 161,935 (24.3%)
Perot: 185,238 (27.7%)
Other: 31,056 (4.7%)
Total: 667,769
 

Vermont

Clinton: 100,833 (43%)
Bush: 73,080 (31.1%)
Perot: 59,075 (25.2%)
Other: 1,625 (0.7%)
Total: 234,613
 

Virginia

Bush: 878,696 (41.6%)
Clinton: 770,441 (36.5%)
Perot: 443,782 (21%)
Other: 17,310 (0.8%)
Total: 2,110,229
 

Washington

Clinton: 775,814 (43%)
Bush: 576,449 (31.9%)
Perot: 434,458 (24.1%)
Other: 17,507 (1%)
Total: 1,804,228
 

West Virginia

Clinton: 331,832 (36.8%)
Bush: 311,295 (34.6%)
Perot: 255,090 (28.3%)
Other: 2,528 (0.3%)
Total: 900,745
 

Wisconsin

Clinton: 960,005 (40.7%)
Bush: 866,905 (36.8%)
Perot: 516,421 (21.9%)
Other: 13,676 (0.6%)
Total: 2,357,007
 

Wyoming

Bush: 94,513 (49.6%)
Clinton: 44,952 (23.6%)
Perot: 49,491 (26%)
Other: 1,760 (0.9%)
Total: 190,716
 

United States (total)

Clinton: 37,363,697 (37.7%)
Bush: 36,045,158 (36.4%)
Perot: 24,888,644 (25.1%)
Other: 844,741 (0.9%)
Total: 99,142,240

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